ABS Director of Demography Denise Carlton said that two in three (66%) Australians now live in a capital city, but that this was projected to increase to 72% by 2053.
Perth and Darwin are currently the fastest-growing capital cities, Carlton said.
“Between 2012 and 2013, Perth grew fastest (3.5%), followed by Darwin (3%), Melbourne (2.2%) and Brisbane (2.1%).”
Carlton added that, if the current growth trends continue, Melbourne is projected to overtake Sydney to become Australia’s biggest capital city by 2053.
While these trends indicate that purchasing capital city property is generally a good bet, the ABS data also provides more detailed suburb information which should be of use to investors.
In Victoria, four of the five fastest-growing areas were inner-city areas. These were:
- Melbourne
- Abbotsford
- Docklands
- Southbank
- Parklea - Kellyville Ridge
- Parramatta - Rosehill
- Concord West - North Strathfield
- Homebush Bay - Silverwater
- Kensington - Kingsford
- Baldivis
- Ellenbrook
- Forrestdale - Harrisdale - Piara Waters
- Butler - Merriwa - Ridgewood
- Perth City
- Rosebery - Bellamack
- Palmerston - South
- Lyons
- Humpty Doo
- Nightcliff
While population growth is an indication of housing demand, it doesn’t necessarily translate to strong price growth when there is sufficient supply to meet it.
Property values rise when there is more demand than supply; therefore, you need to investigate the level of housing supply going into the area before you buy.
Developers tend to flock to high population growth area and overbuild. When this happens, even areas with booming population could see property price drop as in the case of Gold Coast in Queensland and Docklands in Melbourne.